Will interest rates fall soon?
Industry and economic commentators largely expected the Bank of England’s decision to keep the base rate at 3.75%, with some noting it reflects a cautious approach as inflation remains above target. The latest figures show inflation running at 3.4% for the year to December 2025.
The Bank’s governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is likely to ease back very soon, but the Bank wants to be sure it stays on track before cutting rates: “We now think that inflation will fall back to around 2% by the spring. That’s good news. We need to make sure that inflation stays there, so we’ve held interest rates unchanged at 3.75% today. All going well, there should be scope for some further reduction in the bank rate this year.”
Property and financial professionals speaking to The Negotiator describe the hold as giving markets and consumers more stability in the housing market. They emphasise that while further cuts could come later in 2026, the timing remains data-dependent, with policymakers keen to avoid cutting too quickly and risking a rebound in inflation.
Paresh Raja, CEO of Market Financial Solution said: “Given the historic lows we saw between 2008 and 2022, it’s understandable that there remain loud calls for the base rate to fall further and further. But a mindset shift is perhaps required – the Bank of England is not going to rush to cut the base rate, and when we zoom out and look at the last three or four decades, we see that the cost of borrowing today is highly competitive.”